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The business
plan is critical to the new business and still important to the growing
business. Yet, it is a tool that is often ignored by businesses already
established. However, it is an important key to survival and growth as
the plan provides the blueprint to financial viability and stability by
planning, evaluating and controlling the business. Like a road map, the
plan will provide your business strategy as well; where you want to go
and how you are going to get there. Have a professional assist in the
drafting of the projected financial results and in establishing a
budget you can life with.
Profit Planning
Begin your profit plan by focusing on a profit goal for the budget
period. One way of arriving at such a goal is to consider what you
would/could earn if you instead worked for someone else and what rate
of interest you would consider acceptable if you were to invest your
equity elsewhere. Establishing your profit target is critical to the
planning process.
A profit plan is summarized in the form of a projected income
statement. Having a projected income statement at the ready to compare
to actual results will mean that you can:
- Evaluate operations by comparing projected sales and costs against actual results
to detect areas of unsatisfactory performance.
- Determine
the need for additional resources-both in terms of capital and human
resources. With a profit plan, the search for such resources can begin
as early as possible to avoid future crisis points.
- Plan purchasing requirements and optimum stock levels
Sales Forecasting
Profit planning will start with sales forecasting. Estimated sales
maybe more easily determined if the concentration is on unit sales or
clients served instead of dollar sales. A realistic sales forecast will
be based on a careful analysis of the organization’s market potential,
the ability of the organization to capitalize on the market and an
analysis of the organization’s current performance level. Categorize
sales by product, market, department or perhaps by salesperson. Both
internal and external factors that influence sales must be considered.
Internal factors would include marketing and promotional plans,
capacity restrictions, market expansion plans, sales force changes,
pricing etc. External factors would include business trends,
inflations, demographics, unemployment rates, competition etc.
Profit Margins
The next step in establishing a profit plan is projecting the gross
profit margin. The Gross profit margin is typically a good indicator of
both your pricing policies and the buying economies of your
organization. Gross profit margins can be compared relatively easily
with the forecast, the industry and actual amounts from prior periods.
Operating Expenses
Similar to the forecasting of sales and gross profit margins, the
forecasting of operating expenses should begin with a review of current
year performance, prior year performance and industry average
information to determine the objectives for the forecast period. Using
a percentage based comparison maybe very helpful when determining these
objectives. External factors that can affect operating expense budgets
would include inflation, changing tax rates and wage and salary awards.
Internal factors to be considered would include policy changes,
commitments for new leases or services, planned salary and benefit
increases. Some of the operating expenses will be fixed in that they
will not vary as the volume of your revenue changes. Fixed costs remain
constant at any range of sales within the existing capacity of the
business. Insurance, salaries, rent and amortization are examples of
fixed costs. Variable costs change as the volume of sales change.
Variable costs are items like cost of goods sold, sales commissions and
promotional expenses.
Analyzing Costs and the Break Even Point
The breakeven point refers to the point at which you neither make a
profit nor sustain a loss, At this point; your income is just enough to
cover costs. To determine the breakeven point, first the contribution
margin needs to be considered. The contribution margin is the
difference between the selling price and the unit variable cost. This
‘difference’ in effect is available to make a ‘contribution’ towards
paying the fixed costs and eventually to make a profit. In practice,
most businesses have many products and the contribution margin of each
of the products can and should be determined to see which products
contribute and which products do not contribute.
At the point where the sales (S) equal the fixed costs (F) and the variable
costs, there is a breakeven:
| S=F/C |
| | where: | S=sales at the breakeven point (S) |
| F=fixed costs ($) |
| C=contribution margin (%) |
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Example:
With a 25% contribution margin and fixed costs of $200,000, the
breakeven point would be $800,000 (200,000/. 25=800,000) |
If on the other hand, you wish to know the level of sales required to make a
profit of $P
S=(F+P)/C
where: P=Profit
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Example:
With a 25% contribution margin and fixed costs of $200,000, the
breakeven point would be $800,000 (200,000/. 25=800,000) |
Forecasting the Balance Sheet
The profit plan will help you forecast sales, expenses and net income
which in turn, will help you to know the financial position of the
business in the future. It cannot be assumed that a cash shortage will
not exist even if your business is highly profitable. Profits are not
the same thing as cash in the bank. As sales grow, inventories and
accounts receivable and fixed assets also grow. How will you know if
your business has sufficient financial strength to meet the
requirements of the growing business? To develop a forecasted balance
sheet the current balance sheet is used as the starting point and the
profit plan for the coming year is considered. However, it is important
to consider other planned activities during the year such as
acquisition of fixed assets, debt repayments, additional inventory
requirements, new share issues etc. The various asset balances which
are required to support the expected volume of sales for the coming
year can be estimated for the forecasted balance sheet. The liabilities
and owner’s equity sections can be planned and estimated for the same
purpose. The forecast of cash is best estimated by developing a cash
flow projection.
Cash flow forecasting
An accurate cash flow forecast is a business owner’s best ally in
ensuring continued financial solvency. Cash is the lifeblood of an
organization. Managing cash is as important as controlling expenses and
generating revenues. Unless you can understand and plan for the timing
of the actual cash that flows in and out it, is impossible to make
effective decisions about spending, borrowing or expanding the
business. Indeed, an effective cash flow forecast will clearly show the
bank what and when additional working capital for your business maybe
needed. This is key to establishing a good relationship with your bank.
Cash flow is most often monitored on a monthly basis. Start with the
cash on hand at the beginning of the period. Add projected receipts
expected during the month from customers or other sources. Subtract all
projected disbursements by taking into consideration expenses, both
operating and fixed and the credit terms established with suppliers. To
prepare an accurate cash flow you need to consider some of the
following:
- The ratio of cash to credit sales
- The normal terms/paying habits of customers
- The normal terms with suppliers-how promptly must vendors be paid?
- The timing of inventory purchases required to make the sales as projected
- Planned capital asset purchases
Cash
flow planning is a vital and dynamic exercise in any successful
business and managing the business successfully has a lot to do with
managing the cash flow effectively. Completing a cash flow forecast is
best done using a spreadsheet. An example of a typical cash flow
follows.
Cash Disbursement Forecast for 12 months
| Month | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Total | | Automobile |
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| | Advertising |
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| | Dues |
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| | Insurance |
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| | Licence/Taxes |
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| | Management Fees |
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| | Professional Fees |
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| | Salaries |
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| | Interest & Bank Charges |
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| | Office Supplies |
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| | Printing/Stationery |
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| | Rent |
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| | Telephone |
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| | Utilities |
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| | Other Disbursements |
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| | Inventory Purchases |
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| | Capital Additions |
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| | Loan Repayments |
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| | Investments |
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| | Shareholders |
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| | Prepaid Expenses |
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| | Deposits Applied |
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| | Corp. Tax Installments |
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| | TOTAL Disbursements |
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Cash Flow Forecast for 12 months
| Month | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Total | | Collections-Revenue |
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| | Other Receipts: |
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| | Loans |
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| | Share Issues |
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| | Shareholder Loan |
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| | Customer Deposits |
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| | Prepaids Applied |
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| | TOTAL Receipts |
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| Net Cash Flow | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Total | | Opening Cash Balance |
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| | Cash Ending |
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